Why we’re publishing this
VOTING WITH YOUR TWEET: An experiment in political forecasting The “Voting with your tweet” project is a window into an emerging field in political research — the automated, computational mining of...
View ArticleProjected vote share
Tweet VOTING WITH YOUR TWEET: An experiment in political forecasting This map illustrates the projected vote share in congressional districts* that have both Democratic and Republican candidates. The...
View ArticleWin-loss prediction
Tweet VOTING WITH YOUR TWEET: An experiment in political forecasting This map illustrates the prediction of who will win in congressional districts* that have both Democratic and Republican candidates....
View ArticleFrequently Asked Questions
VOTING WITH YOUR TWEET: An experiment in political forecasting Content:Data and SourcesAlgorithmsTopic ModelsOther Introduction What is Voting with your tweet trying to do? This is first and foremost...
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The Voting with your Tweet experiment
Follow @TweetVote2012 Voting with your Tweet is an experiment in election prediction. It’s a work in progress and one step in a broader research process that seeks to build a greater understanding of...
View ArticleIllustrations of summary data
Tweet VOTING WITH YOUR TWEET: An experiment in political forecasting If we were conducting a poll, we would disclose how many people we reached and where they were. Since we’re basing our predictions...
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US House incumbents get more attention on Twitter
Tweet VOTING WITH YOUR TWEET: An experiment in political forecasting Tweets by district and candidate Twitter is thought to be a wide-open medium for communication so as an experiment, we decided to...
View ArticleWho would win the House if elections were held today?
Tweet VOTING WITH YOUR TWEET: An experiment in political forecasting As of 15 October, we showed Democrats winning about 33% (123 districts) of the 369 districts for which we generated vote share...
View ArticleHow Twitter users are talking about elections
As of mid-October, we’ve gathered nearly 600,000 messages mentioning Congressional candidates across the United States. We’d like to survey what users are talking about at any given moment, but reading...
View ArticleWhat we got right, what we got wrong, and when
VOTING WITH YOUR TWEET: An experiment in political forecasting Now that the election’s over, we can say a few things about how we did using Twitter to predict the winners. First, we didn’t do so well....
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